The newly released 2024 Private Equity Climate Risks Scorecard & Report by our allies, Private Equity Stakeholder Project, Global Energy Monitor, and Americans for Financial Reform Education Fund, gives us new insight into private equity firms and OST investments in these secret funds. Twenty-one major private equity firms manage $6 trillion in assets – and two-thirds of the energy companies in their portfolios are invested in fossil fuels. Oregon state employees’ pension plan (PERS) invests in 11 of these 21 funds.

Above: Natural coastal area of the proposed Rio Grande LNG terminal. Credit: Dylan Baddour/ Inside Climate News Below: Artist Rendering of the Rio Grande LNG project (Photo: Business Wire , 11/21/2019)

A recent article in Chief Investment Officer reported that the University of California had solid returns mostly stemming from a fund that excludes tobacco and fossil fuel investments: The University of California’s endowment and pension fund each returned more than 12% for the fiscal year ending June 30, boosting the total asset value of the university’s investment portfolio by $16 billion to $180 billion. Some $1.3 billion of that $16 billion gain came from a single S&P 500 index fund—one which excludes tobacco and fossil fuel investments—that provided the portfolio with its single biggest investment gain. We assume the OIC and Treasury would be thrilled by these types of returns, given the drag that private investments are causing to the portfolio returns, and the continuing liquidity problems of private funds. UC invests where they have a strong conviction while fulfilling their fiduciary duty. The two are not mutually exclusive: “This past fiscal year was about investing only in what we fully understand and taking full advantage of low-fee index funds guided by what we call the UC Investments Way,” said UC CIO Jagdeep Singh Bachher in a statement. “It’s about simplicity and leveraging our scale to concentrate on areas where we have strong conviction.” Bachher added that he believes the U.S. and “its resilient economy and thriving innovation ecosystem … is the best place to invest,” and the UC system has backed that up by allocating approximately 75% of its portfolio to domestic investments. We look forward to seeing the OST swiftly shift a significant portion of OPERF to index funds that exclude fossil fuels and to end any consideration of new investments in private funds that are laden with fossil fuel assets, as described in the Treasurer’s Net-Zero Plan. Collectively the country has moved past climate denial. The Oregon Treasury and the Oregon Investment Council should not get mired in solution denial . The solutions for a healthier pension and planet are available now!

At the June 15th national-level meeting of the American Association of University Professors (AAUP), delegates overwhelmingly approved a sweeping resolution demanding that state pension boards and other fund managers divest fossil fuels from their funds. AAUP Oregon, the state-level organization of the AAUP, is a member of the Divest Oregon coalition and a leading union voice for divestment in our state. Victor Reyes, AAUP Oregon’s executive director, responded: “Watching the resolution pass with such overwhelming support by AAUP members from across the United States filled me with pride and reinforced the importance of the work we are continuing to do in our state as members of the Divest Oregon coalition. Our members understand that there is no retirement in a destroyed environment, and I feel confident that public support for divesting from fossil fuels can only grow with these recent wins.” Now the resolution goes to the AAUP executive committee for ratification and to direct its implementation.

These articles were shared with the members of the Oregon Investment Council in June 2024. When considering the speed of the transition , here are some important data points: Electric Cars are Suddenly Becoming Affordable ( NYTimes Business Section, 6/3/2024) “The E.V. market has hit an inflection point,” said Randy Parker, chief executive of Hyundai Motor America, which will begin producing electric vehicles at a factory in Georgia by the end of the year. “The early adopters have come. They’ve got their cars. Now you’re starting to see us transition to a mass market.” IEA expects global clean energy investment to hit $2 trillion in 2024 ( Reuters , 6/5/2024) The Cleantech Revolution ( Rocky Mountain Institute , 6/2024) The world has moved on to the steep part of the S curve (as shown below), which will sweep us from minimal reliance on renewable energy to minimal dependence on fossil fuel. Last year or this year, we will hit peak fossil fuel demand — the advent of cheap solar and wind and batteries, combined with rapidly developing technologies like heat pumps and EVs, has finally caught up with the surging human demand for energy even as more Asian economies enter periods of rapid growth. (comments by Bill McKibben)

Four days before the start of his New York felony trial, presidential nominee Donald Trump engaged in some major self-soothing activity — shaking down Big Oil for $1 billion in order to help him trash the climate. According to the Washington Post, which broke the story, Trump invited two dozen oil executives to a dinner at Mar-a-Lago. After one executive complained about burdensome environmental regulations issued by the Biden administration, Trump responded with a stunner, telling his guests: You are wealthy enough to raise $1 billion to return me to the White House. That would be a “deal,” he said, because of the costs of taxes and regulation they would avoid thanks to him. He vowed to immediately reverse dozens of environmental rules and policies and stop new ones. Trump said he would: End the freeze on new LNG exports - “you’ll get it the first day”; Auction more Gulf of Mexico oil leases; Allow more drilling in the Alaskan Arctic-“You’ve been waiting on a permit for five years; you’ll get it on Day 1”; Continue to “hate wind” [explaining why he breaks it?]. (According to the New York Times, Trump claims that windmills cause cancer and are driving whales insane). Scrap electric vehicle mandates (although they do not exist). Presumably this means scrapping regulations to reduce auto tailpipe emissions. Trump has earlier promised to end California’s ability to require cleaner cars than federal regulations do. One person involved in the industry said many oil executives wanted Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis or another Republican to challenge Biden. But now that Trump is the nominee, this person said, they are going to embrace his policies and give. Alex Witt, a senior adviser for oil and gas with Climate Power, said Trump’s promise is he will do whatever the oil industry wants if they support him. With Trump, Witt said, “everything has a price.” “They got a great return on their investment during Trump’s first term, and Trump is making it crystal clear that they’re in for an even bigger payout if he’s reelected,” she said.

The next Oregon Treasurer will be responsible for implementing and strengthening the Oregon Net-Zero Plan . The May 21 Primary will determine who will be the Democratic and Republican candidates for the position. The theme of the April 2 2024 Divest Oregon forum for the Oregon State Treasurer candidates was Building a Treasury for Tomorrow . Treasurer Candidates Jeff Gudman and Senator Elizabeth Steiner participated in the forum held at First Unitarian Church of Portland. Divest Oregon was pleased to welcome about a hundred to the in-person audience at the forum and the same number online. Alex Baumhardt of the Oregon Capital Chronicle was the moderator and drew from questions submitted by the audience. Candidate Republican Brian Boquist was invited to participate, but declined. The moderator referenced two recent Divest Oregon wins: Treasurer Read’s Net-Zero Plan for the Oregon Treasury and the 2024 COAL Act (HB 4083) encouraging the Treasury to stop investing in coal, phase out of current coal investments, and annual reporting on those actions. The candidates were asked about their plan to get PERS to net zero emissions. Senator Steiner congratulated Divest Oregon for pushing to get Treasurer Read to formulate a net zero plan and noted the plan’s failure to include scope 3 emissions (author’s note: for example the emissions from burning coal as opposed to Scope 1 emissions from mining coal). She indicated confidence in her ability to discern greenwashing, or the shading of the truth, by companies in which the Treasury has invested. Jeff Gudman approved of the shareholder engagement with fossil fuel companies included in the plan. He pointed out that the increase in green investing in the plan simply tracks market projections and noted, “We can do better.” In addressing the lack of transparency of private investments, Gudman suggested reporting after a fund closes out of investments made during the life of the fund. He also suggested reporting on categories of investment rather than specific investments. Steiner affirmed having a diverse portfolio with public and private investments. She suggested more transparency in the guidelines for picking private funds and managers. Both candidates said it would not make sense in the long term to invest in fossil fuels, but did not commit to a definition of long term. Senator Steiner said we need to drop fossil fuel investments before “they become less and less profitable.” Gudman said we need to enforce companies’ “standards” through shareholder engagement. Steiner devoted her summary to the toll of financial insecurity and the role of the Treasury in promoting savings plans as well as preserving retirement funds. In his closing statement, Gudman said the Treasury is already doing a good job in managing its existing programs. He touted a second role of the Treasurer: to use the bully pulpit to promote, for example, allocation of kicker dollars or “using carbon credits to address the climate crisis that we are in.” The forum was followed by a candidates’ reception and a celebration of the work and the wins of the Divest Oregon coalition.

The latest Oregon State Treasury (OST) data for June 30, 2023 reveals that when it comes to its fossil fuel holdings in its portfolio, the Treasury is still following a “business as usual” approach. The consequence of this risky business strategy is falling value in its fossil fuel investments. As discussed in the Divest Oregon report, Oregon State Treasury Coal Investment Performance Report , coal prices are dropping and production costs are increasing. This value drop is across all its fossil fuel holding types, as detailed in the January 2024 report by IEEFA , noting a negative outlook for the oil and gas industry. As a result of Divest Oregon making repeated public records requests for data of the Oregon Treasury’s portfolio holdings, starting with the 2021 data, each December the Treasury now publishes information about some of the investments on their web site. Divest Oregon published its methodology last year . Continuing their year on year comparison showed that COAL/GCEL holding value reduced ∼ 30%.

In the Fall of 2023, Divest Oregon’s legislative workgroup faced a dilemma. In the 2023 Legislative session, the coalition’s Treasury divestment bill (Treasury Investment and Climate Protection Act - HB 2601 ) had not made it out of legislative committee. Now we were facing a short session where there simply was not time for the kind of patient politics that might bring more legislators on board for such a bill. Yet, Oregon was just coming through the hottest summer on record: climate change was clearly accelerating, and the science was clear that fossil fuels were driving this dangerous change. So the workgroup studied the concerns of legislators and the Treasurer: All of us shared the goal of protecting the Public Employee Retirement Fund (PERS) for Oregonians. However, as long as the Treasurer opposed a bill, we could not move enough legislators to action, even by showing data that fossil fuel divestment would improve the Treasury’s financial position. With these facts in mind, the workgroup decided on a 3-pronged approach for the COAL Act – the Clean Oregon Asset Legislation bill – HB 4083 with Representative Khanh Pham as the chief sponsor of the bill and Senator Jeff Golden as the co-chief sponsor in the Senate. First, crafting a bill that was right-sized for the short session. From Divest Oregon research based on public records requests for data from the Treasury, it was now public knowledge that the Treasury was investing at least $1billion in coal-based projects. Whenever Divest Oregon members discussed this with anyone, jaws dropped. “Coal? Really?” So thermal coal (coal used in power plants) – one of the worst emitters of CO2 and pollution – became the focus of the bill. The major arguments presented in the one-pager to legislators focused on the scale of the issue and the fiscal need for the bill. Additional Divest Oregon research suggested that over an 8 year period the Oregon PERS’ coal investments had underperformed, with the research corroborating data from California’s CalPERS about the savings they experienced from coal divestment. Second, engagement with the Treasurer and his staff. Although the Treasurer was creating a net zero plan, and acknowledging publicly that fossil fuels and climate change posed significant risks to financial returns, Divest Oregon had concerns that this plan would not meet the urgency of climate change. So Rep Khanh Pham, in consultation with Divest Oregon leaders, met regularly with the Treasurer and his chief of staff to hammer out language for the bill that was acceptable on all sides. The language of the bill became advisory, similar to the Sudan divestment bill of 2005, which had successfully resulted in the Treasury removing over $300 million in investments from Sudan. The definition of coal investments were aligned with the definition in the Treasurer’s net zero plan. Ultimately, the Treasurer agreed to testify in favor of the bill. Third, Divest Oregon advocated for the COAL Act with every legislator in a variety of ways. In January 2024, as the beginning of the short session approached, Divest Oregon organized 100 concerned constituents to go to Salem for a Lobby Day to solidify support and bring legislators on board. Wearing green and sporting Divest Oregon buttons on their lapels, many small groups of voters crisscrossed the capitol building as they went to 35 separate appointments with their representatives and senators. Some more-distant constituents participated via Zoom, through laptops hand-carried to these appointments. At the luncheon afterward, the Lobby Day participants shared three common themes in legislators’ reactions: “Coal? Really? Why are we still invested in that?” “We must protect PERS.” “Does the Treasurer support this bill?” They also reported that, once reassured on these points, many legislators indicated their support for the bill and signed up as co-sponsors. Thank you notes were signed on the spot, and postcards prepared to follow up once the session commenced, workgroups met, and voting began. Throughout the session, coalition members continued to call, email, and meet with their legislators to urge their support for the COAL Act. Two hundred letters of support for the bill were registered as part of the committee hearings (and a mere 8 in opposition.) Rep Khanh Pham, Senator Jeff Golden, and many concerned Oregonians testified passionately and knowledgeably in support of the bill in the legislature’s House and Senate committee public hearings. The Treasurer’s own testimony included his statements that the “The issue of climate change broadly is an urgent risk to the investment returns of the Oregon Public Employee Retirement Fund,” and that the COAL Act “is complementary” to his net zero plan. Only a day before the end of the short session, the COAL Act passed its final hurdle. Once the Governor signs, the COAL Act will become law, and Oregon will become the third state to pass a public pension divestment bill in the United States, after the Maine divestment bill of 2021 and the California coal divestment bill of 2015. Divest Oregon, with all coalition partners, plans to celebrate this historic win on April 2nd, at a reception following the Oregon Treasurer Candidate Forum .